Monday, April 23, 2018

5th Annual Andre and Chris Mock Draft


Andre and Chris Draft


Rules: As in the past Chris and Andre will alternate pick unless Andre has the Bears pick or Chris has the Packers pick, in which case we would hand the choice over to the other person and those will be noted in Bold. Our philosophy in this process was that we were acting as the General Manager for each team. What that also meant was that we were taking the tendencies of certain coaches into consideration as well as the fan base.

New rules: trades were allowed. We both have to agree that it is a fair trade and it has to legitimately align with the 3000-point value scale. With that said, you also have to consider that a team that wants to trade up will offer a higher value and a team that wants to trade down will accept a slightly lower value.

Round 1 – Chris has odds and Andre has evens unless noted by #Chris made the pick +Andre made the pick.

As we got started we did not want to be too trade happy but there were a few moments where we decided to open the phones. In the end, we inadvertently made the 2nd round pretty entertaining but we did not realize that until we got there.

Trades:
*New York Giants received Cleveland’s 4th overall pick, 35, and 64 for 2nd overall pick
**Indianapolis received 12th,53rd, 121st pick from Buffalo for 6th overall pick.

Round-Pick-Overall
Team
Player
POS
School
1- 1- 1
Cleveland
Saquon Barkley
RB
Penn St.
1- 2- 2
Cleveland* (from NYG trade)#
Baker Mayfield
QB
Oklahoma
1- 3- 3
New York Jets (from IND trade) 
Sam Darnold
QB
USC
1- 4- 4
New York Giants (from CLE trade)
Bradley Chubb
DE
NC State
1- 5- 5
Denver
Quenton Nelson
OG
Notre Dame
1- 6- 6
Buffalo** (from IND trade)
Lamar Jackson
QB
Louisville
1- 7- 7
Tampa Bay+
Minkah Fitzpatrick
FS
Alabama
1- 8- 8
Chicago#
Roquan Smith
ILB
Georgia
1- 9- 9
San Francisco
Tremaine Edmunds
ILB
Va. Tech
1-10-10
Oakland
Vita Vea
DT
Jr
1-11-11
Miami
Josh Rosen
QB
UCLA
1-12-12
Indianapolis** (from Buffalo)
Mike McGlinchey
OT
Notre Dame
1-13-13
Washington
Derwin James
SS
Florida St.
1-14-14
Green Bay
Denzel Ward
CB
Ohio St.
1-15-15
Arizona
Josh Allen
QB
Wyoming
1-16-16
Baltimore
Calvin Ridley
WR
Alabama
1-17-17
Los Angeles Chargers
Rashaan Evans
ILB
Alabama
1-18-18
Seattle
Josh Jackson
CB
Iowa
1-19-19
Dallas
Courtland Sutton
WR
Southern Methodist
1-20-20
Detroit
Marcus Davenport
DE
UTSA
1-21-21
Cincinnati (from Buffalo)
Da'Ron Payne
DT
Alabama
1-22-22
Buffalo (from Kansas City)
James Daniels
C
Iowa
1-23-23
New England (from Los Angeles Rams)
Jaire Alexander
CB
Louisville
1-24-24
Carolina
Will Hernandez
G
UTEP
1-25-25
Tennessee
James Washington
WR
Oklahoma St.
1-26-26
Atlanta
Taven Bryan
DT
Florida
1-27-27
New Orleans
Dallas Goedert
TE
S. Dak. St.
1-28-28
Pittsburgh
Mason Rudolph
QB
Oklahoma St.
1-29-29
Jacksonville
Arden Key
DE
LSU
1-30-30
Minnesota
Martinas Rankin
OT
Miss. State
1-31-31
New England
Brian O'Neill
OT
Pittsburgh
1-32-32
Philadelphia
Leighton Vander Esch
OLB
Boise St.


Round 2 – We were hours into the draft at this point. Round 1 took quite some time but we had a second wind. Once we got going, we realized that our trades from round 1 allowed a few teams to really load up on some rebuilding talent. RBs quickly became a premium in the second round and we were much more furious about our picks.

Round-Pick-Overall
Team
Player
POS
School
2- 1-33
Cleveland
Orlando Brown
T
Oklahoma
2- 2-34
New York Giants
Derrius Guice
RB
LSU
2- 3-35*
Giants (from Cleveland)#
Billy Price
C
Ohio St.
2- 4-36
Indianapolis
Nick Chubb
RB
Georgia
2- 5-37
Indianapolis (from New York Jets)+
Isaiah Oliver
CB
Colorado
2- 6-38
Tampa Bay
Sony Michel
RB
Georgia
2- 7-39
Chicago
Anthony Miller
WR
Memphis
2- 8-40
Denver
Rashaad Penny
RB
San Diego St
2- 9-41
Oakland
D.J. Moore
WR
Maryland
2-10-42
Miami
Kolton Miller
OT
UCLA
2-11-43
New England (from San Francisco)
Harold Landry
OLB
Boston College
2-12-44
Washington
Maurice Hurst
DT
Michigan
2-13-45
Green Bay
Mark Andrews
TE
Oklahoma
2-14-46
Cincinnati
Isaiah Wynn
OG
Georgia
2-15-47
Arizona
Christian Kirk
WR
Texas A&M
2-16-48
Los Angeles Chargers
Marcell Ateman
WR
Oklahoma St.
2-17-49
Indianapolis (from New York Jets through Seattle)
Sam Hubbard
OLB
Ohio St.
2-18-50
Dallas
Mike Gesicki
TE
Penn St.
2-19-51
Detroit
Chukwuma Okorafor
OT
W. Michigan
2-20-52
Baltimore
Ogbonnia Okoronkwo
DE
Oklahoma
2-21-53**
Indianapolis (From Buffalo)
Josey Jewell
ILB
Iowa
2-22-54
Kansas City
Mike Hughes
CB
UCF
2-23-55
Carolina
Isaac Yiadom
CB
Boston College
2-24-56
Buffalo (from Los Angeles Rams)
Lorenzo Carter
DE
Georgia
2-25-57
Tennessee
Marcus Allen
FS
Penn St.
2-26-58
Atlanta
Malik Jefferson
OLB
Texas
2-27-59
San Francisco (from New Orleans)
Tyrell Crosby
OT
Oregon
2-28-60
Pittsburgh
Uchenna Nwosu
OLB
USC
2-29-61
Jacksonville
Frank Ragnow
C
Arkansas
2-30-62
Minnesota
Ronnie Harrison
SS
Alabama
2-31-63
New England
Donte Jackson
CB
LSU
2-32-64*
Giants (from Cleveland)
Shaquem Griffin
OLB
UCF

In the end, this continues to be a practice in two different opinions on players. Yet, there were times where a player that a lot of others like fell very far down the board or was not drafted as both Andre and Chris felt the player was a bust. We had some great moments where one of us was surprised at a pick (Chris was very surprised at Andre’s Mason Rudolph to Steelers pick).

Thanks for reading!

Friday, April 20, 2018

Raiders Draft Picks via Special Request


Special request – Raider’s Draft Picks

By special request, here are the players that I think the Raiders should take in the draft. Having six picks in the sixth round was a lot of fun! If the Raiders can pull off some of these picks, they should be set down the road with a little help this year.

1st round (10) - Tremaine Edmunds LB Virginia Tech – It may not be the Raider’s greatest need but it is a need and they will bring in an athletic player to bring even more swag to the defense.

2nd round (42) – Martinas Rankin OT Mississippi State – Rankin is going to be really good and he can sit or fill in if need be. In fact, Rankin is probably ready now but it never hurts to ease a guy in. There is some definite thought with taking RB Derrius Guice here, but tackles last much longer and Rankin is getting underrated.

3rd round (74) – Jaleel Scott WR New Mexico State – Only a one-year starter but he looks very natural as a receiver and typically catches the ball cleanly with his hands. He needs to fill out a little bit as he still looks like a basketball player with his peg legs but so did Plaxico Buress (who is the best comparison to him minus the trouble red flag). He should turn out to be the perfect complement to Amari Cooper and a great weapon for Carr. Scott could turn out to be one of those players that we look back on and wonder why he was not picked higher.

4th round (112) – Nathan Shepherd DT Fort Hays State – Overaged and coming from a step down in competition but he has a lot of tools to work with. The other thing to consider is that he was double teamed and triple teamed in college, yet he still dominated. A good guy to bring in and put into the mix with some fragile DL on the Raiders.

6th round (189, 197, 210, 212, 216, 217)

Dimitri Flowers FB/TE Oklahoma – It is not exactly clear as to where Flowers fits in but I could see him finding a niche as a 2nd TE on running downs who is a perfect dump off on play fakes. He could also be a nice FB. Either way, not a flashy player, but a well-rounded player that can make a few plays a game.  

PJ Hall DT Sam Houston State – Do not sit on the fact that this guy is a little short and played for a smaller school, when you block 14 kicks and have 86.5 tackles for a loss, you are explosive. This would be a really nice spot for him.

JK Scott P Alabama – I know, punters are rarely worth drafting but Scott has a very strong leg, can kick off, and is very experienced. He has boomed some 70 yard punts and that is impressive. It would also be fun to watch a 6-6 punter in the NFL but that is not the only reason to take him.

Quadree Henderson WR Pitt – Henderson is fast and has good hands but he is very undersized. With that said, he could be a great returner and a niche offensive weapon. The sixth round is made for guys like this.

Frank Ginda LB San Jose State – Ginda is not going to ever be a star but he is assignment sure and has a knack for reading the play. Worst case scenario, he is a dynamite special teamer and best case he finds a way to be a decent starter.

Brett Toth OT Army – With so many picks here, the Raiders can take a flier on a really talented player with a military commitment. Clearly this is a pick that will pay dividends down the road but worth it here.

7th round (231) – Michael Joseph CB Dubuque – Joseph is a real wild card in this draft. How does somebody go from not being recruited by literally any school to starring in college? I understand it is lower level but still, it is interesting. So the question is, flash in the pan or late bloomer? Either way, why not take a shot at him here. It is also possible that one of the other small school CBs falls so if Taron Johnson happens to be here, he is a better pick.

There you have it! One bonus team based on special request. If you have not read the Packer Bear Picks or Mock Draft 2.5, please check them out!



Thursday, April 19, 2018

Draft Focus for Packers and Bears


It is time for me to strap on the GM hat and gloves and pick the entire drafts for the Packers and Bears. Unlike in the past, I am allowing for the projection of one trade here with the Bears. With that said, I am pretty sure one or both teams will move around a little bit. This represents what players I think each team should pick and some players that I clearly like in this draft.

Packers (CB, OLB, TE, S, WR, OL, LB)
The Packers need to continue to bring in help for their defense so a large defensive haul would serve them well. The good news is that they have a lot of picks so they can bring in a lot of talent. They also need to continue to bring in weapons for Aaron Rodgers, though rookie WR and TEs rarely produce for them. Finally, some help on the offensive line is needed mostly due to injuries but I am still holding out hope that a health Kyle Murphy can start at RT until Bulaga is healthy. There is also the outside chance that Jason Spriggs does not turn out to be a bust and puts it together but I will not hold my breath on that one.

1st Round (14) – Denzel Ward CB Ohio State – I know Ward may go higher but I keep looking at the way that the boards are falling and Ward could really get pushed down very easily. Ward is the best CB in this draft. If Ward is not available, then they go CB Josh Jackson.

2nd Round (45) – Dallas Goedert TE South Dakota StateMike Gesicki really helped the Packers by running a fast 40 and pushing Goedert down a little bit. I was a bit overzealous with pushing him up to the middle of the first but I really like him a lot and this is where he should go. I know he went against a lower level of competition but he just looks so much like Jason Witten to me. This is an excellent pick here for the Packers.

3rd Round (76) – I am cheating here a little bit as I would love one of two players here:

3a. Lorenzo Carter OLB Georgia – I really like what I see with Carter. He seems to really have a knack for using his long arms. I could see somebody jumping on him earlier than this but this is a good spot for him if he is available and he would be a major upgrade over the pass rushers behind Clay Matthews and Nick Perry. Give him some time and make use of him as a rotational player and this turns out to be a really good pick.

3b. Alex Cappa OT Humboldt State – I know this is a lower level of competition here, but I just love this guy’s mean streak and potential. He showed that he can take a step up in competition at the Senior Bowl. In a lot of ways, he reminds me of David Bakhtiari when he was coming out of college.

4th Round (101) – Jessie Bates III S Wake Forest – Bates needs some seasoning and likely a little bit more bulk but he has good instincts and you cannot teach those. The good news is that he will not be pressured to start right away and can just be a contributor for the time being. He can develop into a starter and push Jones and Clinton-Dix.

4th Round (133) – Hercules Mata’afa DL/LB – The fourth round is a great time to take a shot on a player who has a lot of skills but you project to another spot. The pass-rushing skills of Mata’afa are pretty remarkable. That first step off the snap is pretty crazy but what do you do with a not quite 6-2, 205 pound DT? The Packers have hired a creative Defensive Coordinator that can figure out where to use him but my guess is a developmental OLB. Sometimes you have to realize that a good football player is a good football player.

5th Round (138) – Arrion Springs CB Oregon – Top end speed may be a little average but I really like the way that he plays and uses the sidelines. Opinions of him vary a little bit but I think he is a good pick at this point. At the very least they will get a feisty CB.

Backup: Parry Nickerson CB Tulane – Nickerson is skinny and needs to put on a little muscle to fill out a bit more and handle the stronger receivers. With that said, his other skills are very good and he is willing to stick his nose in. He is feisty and should be able to contribute in the slot as a rookie.

5th Round (172) – Trey Quinn WR SMU – I am not sure where Quinn falls in this draft exactly. Some may say this is too early or right where he should go. Quinn is an X-Factor type player with good hands, routes, and sneaky quickness. One of the other WRs that is under the radar is WRs in this draft is Justin Watson from Penn. I compared both tapes, and I prefer Quinn.

5th Round (174) – Tyler Conklin TE Central Michigan – He was one of the earlier guys who I watched tape on and I just kept thinking about how there is something about him I really like on the field. You have to go beyond stats sometimes. He is a bit short but it just feels like he could be an x-factor and he can also line up as an H-back. It is also possible that he is a guy who has yet to reach his potential. Maybe 5th is a little high for him? I know Wisconsinites want Fumagalli (who I also like) but Conklin gets the edge for me.

6th Round (186) – Scott Quessenberry C/G UCLA – I really like this guy a lot and his versatility just adds to his value. I think he is flying just a bit under the radar and that his issues are easily correctable. You need nasty guys like this on the interior of the line.

6th Round (207) – Janorian Grant RS/WR Rutgers – There have been some injury concerns here but he is incredibly slippery as a returner and his cuts are a thing of beauty on returns. Medical needs to be evaluated after having some injury issues but at this spot, he is worth the risk. The Packers need a player like this.

7th Round (232) – Troy Apke S Penn State – Apke is super raw and may never be a starting caliber safety in the NFL but he could be a great special teams player as he develops. With the loss of Jeff Janis, Apke has similar skills and could replace him. With that said, some team could go nuts over Apke’s measurable and take him much sooner; similar to Dezmen Southward getting picked in the 3rd when he really was more like a 6th in 2014.

7th Round (239) – Darius Jackson OLB Jacksonville State – He is not perfect as he is a little undersized and could be a little faster but he sure does look good on the football field. I think his best position may be bouncing inside but he has shown pass-rush ability as well.

Undrafted Target: John Wolford QB Wake Forest – Okay, I guess they do not need a QB and Wolford will never be a starter, but gosh I really like the way this guy plays and the Packers can stash him on the practice squad and he can be a reliably back-up that can rally an offense in the future.


Bears (OL, WR, EDGE, ILB)
The Bears have some similar needs to the Packers but need to make a strong push to help and protect Trubiski with OL and bringing in a few weapons, though free agency helped them quite a bit with the latter. From there, bringing in some depth or players to push current starters on defense becomes important. I am projecting that the Bears will trade down with the Cardinals so I am including that trade which gives the Bears the 15th and 47th.
1st Round (15 projected from Cardinals) – Mike McGlinchey OT Notre Dame – This is a projected trade but if the Bears stand pat, they will likely do the same thing and grab McGlinchey to strengthen their line.

2nd Round (39) – Anthony Miller WR Memphis – Miller is not the flashiest WR in this draft but he has very good hands and will be a nice 3rd or 4th receiver in his rookie year and could push to be a nice slot option down the road.

2nd Round (47th projected from Cardinals) – Josey Jewell ILB Iowa – Jewell is going to be very good in the NFL. Middle Linebackers do not always need to be elite athletes but they need instincts and I really like the way Jewell plays particularly how he reads the offense; those are the types of things that make up for not being an elite athlete.

4th Round (105) – Isaac Yiadom CB Boston College – There are varying opinions on Yiadom and while he is a bit skinny, he can bulk up a bit. He plays aggressively and would be a solid developmental guy while he plays in the nickel for the Bears.

4th Round (115) - Colby Gossett G Appalachian State – He has solid feet and is an aware player. May not quite have the heavy hit to him but has a strong base. The Bears can be a little patient with him and need some depth based on the injury history of their line.

5th Round (145) – Simmie Cobbs Jr. WR Indiana – It is tough to say where Cobbs will go exactly but he feels like a 5th rounder. He has some really great moments and then some head scratching moments. With that said, he is a big strong receiver that may turn out to be a steal if some of the rough edges get polished. Indiana receivers have not fared well in the NFL minus Antwaan Randal-El (mostly a QB in college so it is hard to lump him in) so Cobbs has that working against him. Still, it is worth the risk here and the Bears need to reload the WRs through the draft instead of getting castoffs.

6th Round (181) – Joe Ostman OLB Central Michigan – Ostman is not a flashy player and a bit blue collar. However, it is players like these that are good rotational players that will surprise opposing offenses when not accounted for. He should also be a good special teamer.

7th Round (224) – Curtis Cothran DL Penn State – An interesting player that has some skills but not a lot of pop in his play. He should be able to play DE for the Bears and add some depth. He almost looks like he could drop a few pounds and learn to play OLB in a 3-4. Might be worth the pick on potential at this point.

Stay tuned as this weekend represents the 5th running of the André and Chris Live Mock Draft but the first that will not be over the internet and in person (not that it changes anything but it makes me happy). We are going to add a new rule to this year’s mock draft. See you then!

Thursday, April 12, 2018

Mock Draft 2.5 - Post Free Agency Mock Draft with projected trades allowed


Mock Draft 2.5


Post Free Agency Mock Draft with projected trades – This mock draft represents the way that I see things falling in the draft based on teams and some projected trades. I will only include trades that are possible and will use the standard trade value chart. For 3.0 I will go back to my standard Will Pick and Should Pick leading up to draft day. Additionally, look for Packer and Bear picks. If there are other teams that you would like me to take a look at and assess, why not send me a tweet? @draftcompass


1. Browns – Saquon Barkley RB Penn State – I am going to maintain that this will happen here. So no change from the last mock draft. In a year when they have the 4th overall pick and there are some solid QBs, I say roll the dice. A good running back makes an average QB solid. Obviously I have no insights whatsoever except my gut feeling here but I think the Browns have two QBs on their radar and they will get one of them.

2. Broncos (Broncos trade 5th pick, 1st round next year, QB Paxton Lynch; Giants trade 2nd pick, 108th pick) – Sam Darnold QB USC – Gil Brandt had a great quote on NFL radio last weekend, “They should call April the month of liars” based on all the smoke screens that come out. A report that the Giants would take Darnold if he was there is just that, a smoke screen. The Giants trust in Eli Manning for this year and a few years down the road. This trade allows them to take a look at Paxton Lynch for a year and they still have Davis Webb. If neither works out, they have a 1st rounder in the bank to trade away next year for future years or to draft a QB. The Broncos on the other hand get the man that they want by leveraging their future and officially giving up on Paxton Lynch. The Browns look at this and smile, they did not want Darnold anyways.

3. Jets  – Baker Mayfield QB Oklahoma The Jets traded up for a reason and liked two guys, their first choice is gone. So they go with their 2nd choice and are happy to have such a competitive QB on their roster ready to learn for the first year and then take the reins. They lost the last time they rolled the dice on talent with Hackenburg so they avoid the potential of Rosen or Allen this time around.

4. Browns – Josh Allen QB Wyoming – As I have said in previous mock drafts, the Browns interest in Darnold is classic Ron Wolf misdirection. The entire time the Browns have had their eyes on Allen over everybody else. While they would take Rosen as a consolation prize if Allen were not here, Allen is here, and the Browns get two potential franchise players.

5. Giants (From Broncos) – Bradley Chubb DE NC State – Now that the Giants have traded down they are loaded up for next year and still get the player they wanted. Chubb is the best defender in this draft hands down and the Giants still have Eli Manning to run the offense. Chubb is just too talented to pass up here. Gettleman has been quoted as saying he wants somebody who will get a gold jacket; I count 2-3 that have that type of potential in this draft and Chubb tops that list.

6. Colts – Quenton Nelson G Notre Dame– The Colts will feel much better in this spot and grab the best OL in this draft. Who cares that he plays guard when he is going to be a dominant guard. I keep wondering if there is also a possibility that the team that drafts him might move him out to RT. The Colts could do that or keep him at guard. Either way, they have strong and nasty new OL.

7. Buccaneers – Minkah Fitzpatrick DB Alabama – No change here, Fitzpatrick is one of the more interesting players in this draft and will likely play safety who moves into the slot in the nickel. The Buccaneers could use another young player in secondary. There are even some reports that teams are thinking of making him a straight up CB. I am not sure about that but he will be an upgrade for the Buccaneers none the less.

8. Cardinals (Cardinals trade 15th and 47th pick; Bears trade 8th pick) – Josh Rosen UCLA QB – The Cardinals see Rosen falling and do what they can to move up to grab him at this spot. The Cardinals really should have planned for the future but did not do so, they need a QB bad and Rosen is their guy.

9. 49ers – Derwin James S Florida State – James could bring some leadership and swagger to this defense. He is similar to Eric Reid but a much better player so this is a nice upgrade for the 49ers.

10. Raiders – Tremaine Edmunds LB Virginia Tech – The Raiders are going to look at their board and needs and see a lot of potential in drafting this athletic of a linebacker to run all over the field.

11. Dolphins – Calvin Ridley WR Alabama – I want the Dolphins to take a QB here but they seem quite happy with Tannehill at this point. So, why not reload the WR room with a dynamic playmaker like Ridley?

12. Bills – Lamar Jackson QB Louisville – As I said before, I have a suspicion that the team out there that has Jackson as their number 2 QB in this draft is the Bills. They figured that they would move within striking distance of where he will go so they can make another move if need be. Jackson is a guy that can be molded but needs a bit of work before he should be thrown in the fire. Bills prepared for this and their patience will pay off.

13. Redskins – Vita Vea DT Washington – Roquan Smith is tempting here but the need is greater for Vea and Vea is a great athlete for his size. Perhaps the Ngata comparison is not right, but he is solid.

14. Packers – Denzel Ward CB Ohio State – Ward falling here is a gift for the Packers and fills a need, no chance they pass him up here unless they have Josh Jackson graded higher, which I would doubt.

15. Bears (From Cardinals) – Mike McGlinchey OT Notre Dame – This is the area where McGlinchey should go and the Bears picked up some change from dropping down, yet, end up with the player they wanted. The Bears are putting together a solid team but need to protect Trubiski now.

16. Ravens – Courtland Sutton WR SMU – Sutton is a bit unrefined but the talent is there. The Ravens made a mistake in overdrafting Perrimen a few years ago so it is time to fix that mistake with a guy who can leap up and grab those Flacco passes.

17. Chargers – Da’Ron Payne DT Alabama – There are a lot of talented players at this point, a little too many for teams to go crazy to trade up. Looking down the board and with Cory Liuget being suspended and Mebane getting a bit older, the Chargers reload their line with a stout defensive lineman who is a player maker.

18. Seahawks – Josh Jackson CB Iowa – Jackson is an excellent fit for the Seahawks and the type of defense they run and is far too good of a football player to pass up on at this point. Again, there is some thoughts of trading down but Jackson is too big of a play maker to trade down from here.

19. Titans (Titans trade 29th, 89th, and 199th, 47th picks; Cowboys trade 19th pick)  – Roquan Smith LB Georgia – The Titans make a big move to grab a player that has fallen too far and is at a position of need for them. They pay a big price but it is a worthwhile price for a player who is a great athlete and can do a lot of things for a creative defensive coordinator.

20. Lions – Marcus Davenport DE Texas-San Antonio – The Lions are going to see a pass rusher that will be too good to be true at this point. This is also a good spot for Davenport as he will be able to develop a little bit and start out as a rotational guy on passing downs.

21. Bengals – Will Hernandez G UTEP – Hernandez is a brute, aggressive, and powerful player. He will need to make a slight adjustment in that UTEP did not face absolute top competition but good enough competition. The Bengals need more players like Hernandez.

22. Steelers (Steelers trade 28th and 92nd picks; Bills trade 22nd pick) Mason Rudolph QB Oklahoma State – The Steelers panic and leapfrog the Patriots who may have some interest in Rudolph to groom an underrated QB behind Big Ben. The Steelers will learn from the Cardinals facing a debacle at QB after Palmer retired and take a page from the Chiefs and Packers. Rudolph takes over once Ben calls it quits in a year or two and the price they pay here looks like a deal.

23. Patriots – Harold Landry OLB Boston College – Originally, I had the Patriots taking Isaiah Oliver but typically they go with a pass rusher over a CB. Landry is a little bit of a wild card as he was better as a junior than senior and that will give some teams pause. But at this point, the Patriots improve their pass rush with Landry.

24. Panthers – Isaiah Oliver CB Colorado – The Panthers have tended to like taller tougher CBs and Oliver has a lot of solid skills. With the trading of Worley, there is a bit of a need here for the Panthers.

25. Cowboys (from Titans) – Taven Bryan DT Florida – The Cowboys could use an athletic DT and Bryan is very versatile and has a high motor. The Cowboys need a high character guy on the defense and forget about some of their past mistakes.

26. Falcons – Maurice Hurst DT Michigan – I watched some tape on Hurst and I feel like I am missing something. He does not seem to be a top defensive lineman based on his tape. However, there is a sentiment out there that he is. The Falcons need some DT help and will make a mistake here in drafting Hurst.

27. Saints – Isaiah Wynn OT/G Georgia – I am changing things up here as the more I look at it, the more I think that no TEs will go in the first round so Hayden Hurst drops out of this spot. The Saints could use a strong OL to solidify their line and Wynn has shown versatility and is a good football player.

28. Bills (from Steelers) – James Daniels C Iowa – The Bills rolled the dice by trading down and end up with the player they wanted at 22. With Eric Woods having to retire and now losing Incognito the interior of the line needs a lot of help. Daniels can play either spot and will be great at both spots.

29. Jaguars – DJ Moore WR Maryland – Moore is used to poor quarterback play and Bortles is average for the most part. Moore is a smart explosive player who will do well in the NFL. Nice pick here to help a team that needs to reload their WRs.

30. Vikings – Connor Williams OT Texas – The Vikings need to strengthen their line and Williams is the top rated Offensive Lineman here. I am still not seeing it with Williams so I think he will be a bust personally but may be worth the gamble here.

31. Patriots – Brian O’Neil OT Pitt – So I understand this seems like a reach at this point. However, the Patriots target and hone in on underappreciated OL that have loads of potential. Think about when they drafted Sebastian Vollmers, I loved him at the time but had him as a 4th or 5th, not a 2nd and it worked. Even Logan Matkins was considered an odd pick for the end of the 1st round. O’Neil is still growing and is smart, athletic, powerful for his size, and has plenty of growth potential at a position they need.

32. Eagles – Leighton Vander Esch LB Boise State– The Eagles can truly take the best available player here but LB is a need for them. They did not seem happy with what they had at LB and Vander Esch can play any of the linebacker spots.


Maybe a few too many trades but we have seen some pretty crazy 1st rounds in the past. 
If you missed the No Trades Mock Draft, please take a look at that posting as well. Keep an eye out for Mock Draft 3.0 and the Packer and Bear Picks in the near future. 

Friday, April 6, 2018

Mock Draft 2.0 - Post Free Agency Mock Draft with no trades allowed


Post Free Agency Mock Draft 


This mock draft represents the way that I see things falling in the draft based on teams. It is likely that teams will trade up in the top 10 so the picks will look different but the team that players go to will be similar. Mock Draft 2.5 will be similar to this one but with projected trades. For 3.0 I will go back to my standard Will Pick and Should pick.

1. Browns – Saquon Barkley RB Penn State – I am going to maintain that this will happen here. So no change from the last mock draft. In a year when they have the 4th overall pick and there are some solid QBs, I say roll the dice. A good running back makes an average QB solid. Obviously I have no insights whatsoever except my gut feeling here but I think the Browns have two QBs on their radar and they will get one of them.

2. Giants – Bradley Chubb DE NC State – I am maintaining this pick here as well. While a sweet deal could tempt them, I am changing this up and saying that the Giants stand pat. Chubb is the best defender in this draft hands down. Chubb is just too talented to pass up here. Look for them to take the QB later in the draft or do not forget that they have Davis Webb and he still could develop. Additionally, Gettlemen seems to do whatever he feels like doing and will go for the player he wants. Additionally, he has been quoted as saying he wants somebody who will get a gold jacket; I count 2-3 that have that type of potential in this draft and Chubb tops that list.

3. Jets  – Sam Darnold QB USC – The Jets traded up for a reason and they are going to dip into the USC bowl again. I do not think this is the right pick here but it is what they will likely do.

4. Browns – Josh Allen QB Wyoming – The Browns have their choice of either one of the QBs that they want Allen or Rosen. I think the reports that the Browns are in love with Darnold is classic Ron Wolf misdirection. With that said, I am at about 50/50 thinking the Browns might trade up with the Giants so they can secure the player they want. They have the ammo but that is roughly this pick in addition to 33 and 64 which might be a little steep. So if I was them, why not roll the dice here?

5. Broncos – Baker Mayfield QB Oklahoma – Mayfield has a lot of swag and appears to be ready to take on the NFL. He will certainly make mistakes and have moments where he is his own worst enemy (similar to Favre moments) but that will also make him great. I am also a big believer in guys that play with a chip on their shoulder. My guess is that Elway will move on from “great potential” QBs and grab Mayfield.

6. Colts – Quenton Nelson G Notre Dame– The Colts will feel much better in this spot and grab the best OL in this draft. Who cares that he plays guard when he is going to be a dominant guard. I keep wondering if there is also a possibility that the team that drafts him might move him out to RT. The Colts could do that or keep him at guard. Either way, they have strong and nasty new OL.

7. Buccaneers – Minkah Fitzpatrick DB Alabama – No change here, Fitzpatrick is one of the more interesting players in this draft and will likely play safety who moves into the slot in the nickel. The Buccaneers could use another young player in secondary. There are even some reports that teams are thinking of making him a straight up CB. I am not sure about that but he will be an upgrade for the Buccaneers none the less.

8. Bears – Mike McGlinchey – With Nelson getting picked already, the Bears do the next best thing and grab his teammate who is also a very good football player. The Bears have brought in weapons for Trubisky, now it is time to protect him.


9. 49ers – Derwin James S Florida State – James could bring some leadership and swagger to this defense. He is similar to Eric Reid but a much better player so this is a nice upgrade for the 49ers.

10. Raiders – Tremaine Edmunds LB Virginia Tech – The Raiders are going to look at their board and needs and see a lot of potential in drafting this athletic of a linebacker to run all over the field.

11. Dolphins – Calvin Ridley WR Alabama – I want the Dolphins to take a QB here but they seem quite happy with Tannehill at this point. So, why not reload the WR room with a dynamic playmaker like Ridley?

12. Bills – Lamar Jackson QB Louisville – Yes, I know that we are looking at Josh Rosen being on the board here. But I have a suspicion that the team out there that has Jackson as their number 2 QB in this draft is the Bills. If Charlie Weis were reading this blog, I am sure he would say “HOW THE HELL DO YOU KNOW?” (sorry Charlie if you are reading this blog, but you yelled at a listener about saying the same thing, do not forget, this is fun for us not a business) and I don’t know. But I think that is who the Bills targeted with moving up to this position.

13. Redskins – Josh Rosen QB UCLA – The Redskins have greater needs but with Rosen staring them in the face here, it is just too good to be true so they pull the trigger.

14. Packers – Denzel Ward CB Ohio State – I did not see any way that this could happen, yet, I find myself looking right at the scenario. With the free agent moves that were made ahead of the Packers and the run on QBs, this is a scenario where the Packers can lick their chops and bring in a great athlete that can learn and play the 3rd CB spot until he is 100% ready to take over.

15. Cardinals – Mason Rudolph QB Oklahoma State – I am maintaining that this pick will happen, although in the current scenario, if I allowed trades, likely the Cardinals would have traded up and landed Rosen instead of Washington grabbing him. This is where the reaching begins a bit but that might be okay given that Rudolph is a good QB. I am not sure that he is ever going to be great but he should be serviceable. Not what you want in a QB but they do not have a lot of choice here and QBs are always over drafted.

16. Ravens – Courtland Sutton WR SMU – Sutton is a bit unrefined but the talent is there. The Ravens made a mistake in overdrafting Perrimen a few years ago so it is time to fix that mistake with a guy who can leap up and grab those Flacco passes.

17. Chargers – Connor Williams OT Texas – The Chargers continue to ignore OL in the first round and really really really need to do something about that. McGlinchey is gone so they go with the next OT on their board. I am not quite seeing it with Williams and think he is likely to bust but the Chargers have to do something here.

18. Seahawks – Josh Jackson CB Iowa – Jackson is an excellent fit for the Seahawks and the type of defense they run and is far too good of a football player to pass up on at this point.

19. Cowboys – Roquan Smith LB Georgia – The Cowboys like to build their lines up and despite two very good DT being available here, Smith is too much of a playmaker to pass up on. Sean Lee has never been able to stay healthy and bringing in an athletic linebacker could solidify the defense.

20. Lions – Marcus Davenport DE Texas-San Antonio – The Lions are going to see a pass rusher that will be too good to be true at this point. This is also a good spot for Davenport as he will be able to develop a little bit and start out as a rotational guy on passing downs.

21. Bengals – Vita Vea DT Washington – There are a lot of talented players sitting here that can help the Bengals but a defensive coach is going to really want an athletic big man and Vea would be a great help at this point.

22. Bills –  James Daniels C Iowa –The loss of Eric Wood presents a major hole in the offensive line so from a position standpoint, this makes perfect sense. However, this is a move to just bring in an excellent football player and protection for their new investment. Daniels looks like he is going to be very special.


23. Patriots – Isaiah Oliver CB Colorado – There are a few CBs that are all good that could go around this spot so it is a pick your guy that fits your team best. Oliver is a stronger press man with some height and skills. I know some prefer Hughes or Alexander here but Oliver seems to be a bit more of a Patriot player.

24. Panthers – Mike Hughes CB Central Florida – The Panthers corners have been pretty solid but Hughes would be an upgrade to a very good defense. With trading away Worley they have an obvious need. He seems to fit their mentality on defense pretty well.

25. Titans – Taven Bryan DL Florida – Bryan is too talented to pass up at this point and fits well with the Titans. Bryan can really play anywhere along the line so the Titans can be creative with him while bringing in a young talent.

26. Falcons – Maurice Hurst DT Michigan – I watched some tape on Hurst and I feel like I am missing something. He does not seem to be a top defensive lineman based on his tape. However, there is a sentiment out there that he is. The Falcons need some DT help and will make a mistake here in drafting Hurst.

27. Saints – Hayden Hurst TE South Carolina – From everything I have heard and read, it seems like Hurst is going to be the first TE off the board. His tape looks good and he is solid overall but a little overaged. Still, he is the safest TE in this draft and does everything fairly well. The Saints have been trying to solidify this position since trading Graham and Hurst will bring some consistency to it.

28. Steelers – Rashaan Evans LB Alabama – Unfortunately, this is going to be a reactionary move. I think that the Steelers would be better off getting another talented player here and then grabbing a guy like Josey Jewell in round 3. I think Evans is a fine player but really may not be a 1st round talent.

29. Jaguars – DJ Moore WR Maryland – Moore is used to poor quarterback play and Bortles is better than poor. Moore is a smart explosive player who will do well in the NFL. Nice pick here to help a team that needs to reload their WRs.

30. Vikings – Orlando Brown OT Oklahoma – Sometimes you have to ignore a lack of measurables when it comes to things like the debacle of the combine for Brown. He is a football player and he can get stronger (all rookies do) and is a load to move. The Vikings will find use for him and protect their new investment. They have a strong enough team so they can afford a mild gamble here.

31. Patriots – Brian O’Neil OT Pitt – So I understand this seems like a reach at this point. However, the Patriots target and hone in on underappreciated OL that have loads of potential. Think about when they drafted Sebastian Vollmers, I loved him at the time but had him as a 4th or 5th, not a 2nd and it worked. Even Logan Matkins was considered an odd pick for the end of the 1st round. O’Neil is still growing and is smart, athletic, powerful for his size, and has plenty of growth potential at a position they need.

32. Eagles – Will Hernandez OG UTEP– The Eagles can truly take the best available player here. If a really good linebacker was here, perhaps they would go that direction, but Hernandez would be useful for the Eagles and has a great deal of potential. The only other consideration they might have here is Leighton Vander Esch.


This is obviously a “no trade scenario” so some of these are not going to happen in this order. Mock Draft 2.5 with trades and trade value coming.

Friday, March 30, 2018

Quarterback Quick Hits



Quarterback Quick Hits


The ranking of the quarterbacks seems to be a big topic for this draft for obvious reasons. After looking at a lot of different publications, it seems that the top guy for everybody is wildly different. To that point, I figured I would do a QB ranking quick hit. I am going to do a top six here since I think that there are six QBs that could go in the first 42 picks. I am going to do a few different categories to make this a little more fun.



Straight up rankings


1. Josh Allen – Too much talent here and I think he is only going to get better with coaching. But he should not be thrown in right away. I know

2. Baker Mayfield – One of the things that makes Aaron Rodgers great is that he had to fight to overcome doubters, that is when he is at his best. Do not confuse cockiness with confidence, Mayfield is a winner.

3. Lamar Jackson – Jackson needs to get seasoning and everybody knows and understands that. If he goes to a team that fixes some of the ugliness while still allowing him to play his game, watch out.

4. Sam Darnold – He does a lot of things well and is a winner but sometimes he just seems all over the place with his decisions. I think he has a lot of bust potential and I am having a hard time seeing it with him.

5. Josh Rosen – I watched Rosen and I am just not quite getting it. I have a hard time even putting him at 5th but he has a lot of talent. I am just not sure.

6. Mason Rudolph – I think Mason Rudolph is going to make a team happy that they drafted him. He reminds me a little bit of Andy Dalton when Dalton came out in that I do no seeing him being a top QB, but one that always plays well. If I was an NFL GM, I would risk taking a good football player in the first round and hope I get Rudolph in the second over drafting Rosen and Darnold for sure and maybe even Allen and Jackson. For example, if I were the Giants and could get Barkley or Chubb in the first round and grab Rudolph in the 2nd, that is well worth it to me.


Safest to biggest risks


1. Baker Mayfield

2. Mason Rudolph

3. Josh Allen

4. Sam Darnold

5. Lamar Jackson

6. Josh Rosen



Mid to late round guys that I like


1. Luke Falk – I am not sure that he is an NFL starter but I think his floor is a reliable back-up and his ceiling is a guy that learns for a few years and then takes over. He may even surprise as coming in for an injured starter early in his career. Kyle Orton level of player, maybe a hair better.

2. Kyle Lauletta – When you hear so many coaches praising his character and competitiveness you have to take notice. His throws tend to be a bit more touch so I would worry about him being able to truly zip the ball into tight spaces. Still, he should be a solid game manager for a team and sometimes that is fine.

3. Mike White – Not a lot was said about him after the Senior Bowl, but I saw some great passes zipped into receiver’s hands during that game. I know there have been some knocks on his awareness in the pocket but that is something that can be improved upon to a degree.



Not getting enough press: John Wolford QB Wake Forest – I know there are some concerns here with his size and how he only had a breakout senior season, but my god, watch some of that senior season! He may not be for everybody but I could see him coming off the bench one day and stunning some poor defense. Somewhere between Matt Flynn and Case Keenum. At the very least he is fun to watch and might just make it.



Post-Free Agency Mock Draft to come soon!